October was generally a strong month across the oil complex. Yet during that period gas and coal prices more or less halved. The interaction between fossil fuels continues with European gas prices ending their free fall at levels where oil prices were no longer competitive at substituting it. Spot crude oil balance tightness remained relatively […]
Commentary provided by Mark Adams of Warrington Asset Management After a choppy start to the month for the S&P 500 Index (“S&P”), the release of positive earnings reports sent the markets into an unabated upward trajectory with the indices quickly reaching new all-time highs. These strong gains were in the face of continued supply chain disruptions, […]
Commentary by AG Capital Management Partners, LP The Discretionary Global Macro Program generated a -3.7% return, net of fees, in October 2021, leaving YTD performance at -9.8%. The “big picture” letter We’ve had a tough year. Although our drawdown and performance are completely in line with what we would expect to see during tough patches (and […]
Commentary provided by Volt Capital Management The global economy has progressed from a stimulus-driven recovery to a ‘real’ demand-driven recovery. We note that the economic growth has overcome both the (expected) stimulus reduction and the global supply chain constraints (e.g., shipping, semiconductors). Equity markets reacted predictably to the strength of the economy and reached new all-time […]
Commentary by Ben Johnson of Sector Arc Advisors Below are areas we highlighted in our Outlook for 2021. “Going into 2021, we have optimism that the pandemic will subside in the first half of the year, opening up our economy, travel, and food service/restaurants. The meat packing industry will need to adjust again, moving away […]
Commentary by Dan Schindler of Schindler Capital A 3.48% gain during the month of September helped the Dairy Advantage Program improve to -10.47% YTD ROR at the end of Q3, compared to -13.96% at the end of Q2. And October has started with a bang, adding another 3.32% as of 10/14, bringing the YTD ROR […]
Commentary by AG Capital Management Partners, LP The Discretionary Global Macro Program generated a -4.1% return, net of fees, in September 2021, leaving YTD performance at -6.3%. An Asian Inflection … Newspaper headlines screamed that the ongoing collapse of Evergrande–China’s largest real estate developer with over $300 billion in debt–is the country’s “Lehman” moment. The […]
Commentary by John Knott of Numberline Capital Partners. The Numberline Macro Risk Program was down .35% net of all fees for the month of September and is up 25.09% year to date. Additionally, the program has returned 25.32% over the previous 12 months. These numbers are compiled by Turnkey Trading Partners. Last month we left off feeling a […]
Commentary provided by Brent Belote of Cayler Capital My apologies for the delay in getting out month-end commentary, sometimes you are the hammer and sometimes you are the guy trying to launch a security token in the midst of institutional fundraising in the midst of a busy hurricane season (I think that’s how the saying […]
Commentary provided by Mark Adams of Warrington Asset Management The S&P 500 Index (“S&P”) continued its relentless advance throughout August in the face of ongoing global crosscurrents. The exponential spread of the Delta variant of Covid, the resurgence of Taliban control in Afghanistan, and the underreported troubles of China’s largest real estate developer (Evergrande), all provided […]
Equity markets continue to trend higher with yet another consecutive month of positive returns. Inflation fears seem to have subsided and the Fed is looking at tapering bond purchases which the market has already expressed. We seem to be at a crossroads as the global economy determines which direction we go. What will impact […]
Commentary provided by Mark Adams of Warrington Asset Management The net return of the S&P 500 Index (“S&P”) for July once again masked a series of domestic and global undercurrents that had the potential to negatively impact the world economy. In the end, none of those contributors had the ability to derail the ongoing rally […]
Commentary provided by Todd Delay of Gamma Q Further consolidation occurred in July with range-bound trading for corn and soybeans. Wheat was the leader with deteriorating conditions across many areas, particularly the Northern Plains supporting price. The July WASDE report reduced wheat stocks by nearly 100 million bushels, and we feel further reductions need to […]