Commentary provided by Volt Capital Management The global economy has progressed from a stimulus-driven recovery to a ‘real’ demand-driven recovery. We note that the economic growth has overcome both the (expected) stimulus reduction and the global supply chain constraints (e.g., shipping, semiconductors). Equity markets reacted predictably to the strength of the economy and reached new all-time […]
Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments The line of dominoes known as supply chain disruptions finally reached the energy markets, causing coal, European natural gas, and crude oil prices to spike. West Texas Intermediate crude traded to new seven-year highs and crude oil futures ended the month up 11%. Those moves helped drive […]
Commentary by Ben Johnson of Sector Arc Advisors Below are areas we highlighted in our Outlook for 2021. “Going into 2021, we have optimism that the pandemic will subside in the first half of the year, opening up our economy, travel, and food service/restaurants. The meat packing industry will need to adjust again, moving away […]
Commentary by Dan Schindler of Schindler Capital A 3.48% gain during the month of September helped the Dairy Advantage Program improve to -10.47% YTD ROR at the end of Q3, compared to -13.96% at the end of Q2. And October has started with a bang, adding another 3.32% as of 10/14, bringing the YTD ROR […]
Commentary by AG Capital Management Partners, LP The Discretionary Global Macro Program generated a -4.1% return, net of fees, in September 2021, leaving YTD performance at -6.3%. An Asian Inflection … Newspaper headlines screamed that the ongoing collapse of Evergrande–China’s largest real estate developer with over $300 billion in debt–is the country’s “Lehman” moment. The […]
Commentary by John Knott of Numberline Capital Partners. The Numberline Macro Risk Program was down .35% net of all fees for the month of September and is up 25.09% year to date. Additionally, the program has returned 25.32% over the previous 12 months. These numbers are compiled by Turnkey Trading Partners. Last month we left off feeling a […]
In recent years, sustainability has moved from the financial sector’s periphery to the mainstream, and the industry has increasingly embraced a transition to a more sustainable and inclusive economic model. This, in turn, has made ESG investing is a hot topic right now. Environmental, social, and governance programs look at not only financial factors for […]
Commentary provided by Chad Burlet of Third Street AG Investments Over the past several years the USDA’s September stocks report has earned the reputation of being one of the most volatile of the year, and this year’s report did not disappoint. November soybean futures had a 50 cent trading range in the 29-1/2 days leading up to […]
Commentary provided by Brent Belote of Cayler Capital My apologies for the delay in getting out month-end commentary, sometimes you are the hammer and sometimes you are the guy trying to launch a security token in the midst of institutional fundraising in the midst of a busy hurricane season (I think that’s how the saying […]
If it seems like September is looking like a rough period for the market you might be surprised but you shouldn’t be. In fact, over the past 50 years, it is the worst performing month of the calendar year. The chart below shows where the saying, “Sell in May and Go Away”, comes from referring […]
Commentary provided by Mark Adams of Warrington Asset Management The S&P 500 Index (“S&P”) continued its relentless advance throughout August in the face of ongoing global crosscurrents. The exponential spread of the Delta variant of Covid, the resurgence of Taliban control in Afghanistan, and the underreported troubles of China’s largest real estate developer (Evergrande), all provided […]
Equity markets continue to trend higher with yet another consecutive month of positive returns. Inflation fears seem to have subsided and the Fed is looking at tapering bond purchases which the market has already expressed. We seem to be at a crossroads as the global economy determines which direction we go. What will impact […]
For any profession, once you have done it for a while, some concepts become second nature to the point that you forget that not everyone (or very few) understands them at even a basic level. I find that options are the concept that confuses people the most and perhaps most valuable to understand. The futures […]